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-15th international gold price 0.27%¡é
International gold prices recorded their first weekly decline in a month. The decline in expectations of an interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve pulled down gold prices.
On Friday (local time) at the New York Mercantile Exchange, this year's April gold price closed at $2,161.50 per ounce, down $6.0 (0.27%) from the previous day. This is the lowest level in 10 days since the 6th. Gold prices fell for two consecutive trading days. The intraday gold price moved within the range of $2,158.70 to $2,176.90. Gold prices fell more than 1% during the week. It is the first time in a month since the middle of last month (February 12-16) that gold prices recorded a weekly decline.
The decline in gold prices this week resulted from a decline in expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This is because persistent inflation was confirmed as the producer price index (PPI) exceeded expectations, following the consumer price index (CPI) in February.
Higher-than-expected inflation pressured the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high, weighing on gold.
The market still sees the highest possibility of the first interest rate cut in June, but market faith is increasingly wavering. There is even speculation that the Federal Reserve may further delay the base interest rate cut or even raise it.
According to the FedWatch tool of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), traders see a 59% chance of a rate cut in June. This figure is significantly lower than the 72% before the CPI announcement in February.
Market participants predicted that in the Summary of Economic Outlook (SEP) of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) next week, the number of interest rate cuts in the dot plot could be revised from three to two, and the growth rate forecast could be revised upward. The central bank's prolonged high interest rates are a negative factor for gold, reducing its attractiveness as an asset.
The strength of the dollar is also a major factor in the decline in gold prices. The U.S. dollar index recorded its largest weekly increase since mid-January, lowering the buying sentiment of overseas buyers.
However, gold prices remain supported due to geopolitical risks such as central bank demand for gold, tensions in the Middle East due to the Israel-Hamas war, and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Now, the attention of precious metal investors is turning to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve, which will be held on the 19th and 20th of next week.
¡°Gold prices could hit a new record next week if the Federal Reserve signals at its meeting that a rate cut is approaching,¡± commodity analysts at Commerzbank said.
Meanwhile, the price of silver rose 1.2% to close at $25.381, and copper rose 1.95% to $4.1245. Spot platinum rose 1.5% to $940.95 per ounce, and palladium rose 1.2% to $1,082.61 per ounce.
At this time, the international gold price (as of 11 a.m., London LBMA gold price) is moving around the $2,155 level.
The day before, in the Seoul foreign exchange market, the won-dollar exchange rate closed at 1,330.5 won, up 12.9 won from the previous trading day.
Detailed domestic gold price inquiries can be found on the Korea Gold Exchange and Korea Exchange (KRX) websites.
/New Media Department Reporter Joo Hong-cheol jhc@kjdaily.com
ÁÖȫö ±âÀÚ jhc@kjdaily.com