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-7-day international gold price 0.3%¡é
International gold prices fell slightly. The Federal Reserve Governor's hawkish remarks and the strengthening dollar dragged down gold prices.
On Tuesday (the 7th local time) at the New York Mercantile Exchange, the gold price for June futures this year closed at $2,324.20 per ounce, down 0.3% ($7) from the previous day. The gold price, which had risen by more than 1% the previous day, turned downward after two trading days.
Intraday gold prices moved within a narrow range between $2,318.20 and $2,338.70 per ounce.
The decline in gold prices was caused by a Federal Reserve official's remarks about raising interest rates.
Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari, who is classified as a hawk among members of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), said on this day that ¡°a scenario of raising the benchmark interest rate cannot be ruled out.¡±
Governor Kashkari responded as follows when asked whether the Federal Reserve System (Fed) may raise the base interest rate in the future at the '2024 Milkan Global Conference' held at the Hilton Hotel in Beverly Hills, Los Angeles.
Governor Kashkari said, ¡°The slowdown in the U.S. inflation rate in the second half of last year was much faster than we expected, which is good news in an environment with an inflation rate in the 3% range.¡± ¡°It¡¯s a riddle,¡± he pointed out.
He said, ¡°A tight monetary policy lowers both the inflation rate and the economic growth rate, but this happened in the first quarter of this year, raising questions about whether the current monetary policy is not enough to suppress demand.¡±
When the interlocutor asked whether this meant that an additional interest rate increase may be necessary, Governor Kashkari responded, ¡°It cannot be ruled out.¡±
Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management, an asset management company specializing in alternative investments in the U.S., also predicted the possibility of no interest rate cut on this day, saying, "The Fed and the market's forecasts on the future path of the federal funds rate (FFR) are almost always wrong."
When this news was delivered, hawkish forecasts that it would be difficult to cut interest rates this year or that interest rates could be raised arose.
According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, the probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in September has slightly decreased to 48.1%.
The central bank's prolonged high interest rates are a negative factor for gold, increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold that does not accrue interest.
After Governor Kashkari's remarks, the dollar also strengthened, putting downward pressure on the price of gold. The dollar index, which reflects the dollar's value against six major currencies, recorded 105.42, up 0.26% from the previous day.
Recently, the gold price has been stabilizing at around $2,300 per ounce for two weeks since the closing price on the 22nd of last month.
Experts predicted that there would be significant room for change in gold prices in the short term depending on the situation in the Middle East.
¡°Gold prices have been moving in recent ranges as ceasefire talks continue while Israel continues to threaten an all-out attack on Rafah,¡± said Peter Grant, vice president and chief metals strategist at Zaner Metals. ¡°If there is a full-scale Israeli attack on Rafah, the price of gold is likely to challenge the short-term resistance around $2,340,¡± he said. ¡°A convincing breakout of this level would signal a breakout of the bullish flag pattern, and initially the price would rise above $2,400.¡± ¡°It will rise in dollar terms,¡± he explained.
He also predicted, "On the other hand, if Israel participates in ceasefire negotiations, the gold price may retest last week's low of $2,277.34 and fall to the 50-day moving average of $2,240.37."
Meanwhile, silver prices closed at $27.544, down 0.25%, and copper prices fell 0.2% to $4.6055. Platinum rose 0.7% to $961.20, and palladium rose 0.2% to $979.0.
At this time, the international gold price (as of 7:20 a.m., London LBMA gold price) is moving around the $2,316 level.
Detailed domestic gold price inquiries can be found on the Korea Gold Exchange and Korea Exchange (KRX) websites.
/Reporter Joo Hong-cheol jhc@kjdaily.com
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