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-31st International Gold Price 0.87%¡é
International gold prices showed a downward trend as there was no clear slowdown in inflation.
On Friday (local time on the 31st), the price of gold for August delivery this year closed at $2,345.80 per ounce, down 0.87% ($20.7) from the previous day on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The gold price, which opened at $2,364.50 per ounce, fluctuated within the range of $2,341 to $2,381 during the session.
On this day, precious metal investors paid attention to the April PCE price index.
The U.S. Department of Commerce announced that the core PCE price index rose 0.2% in April compared to the previous month and 2.8% compared to the same month last year.
The increase from the previous month slowed slightly from the 0.3% increase in the previous month, and the increase from the previous year was the same as the previous month. The monthly increase rate of the core PCE price index was the lowest this year.
The April PCE price index, which includes both energy and food prices, rose 0.3% from the previous month and 2.7% from the previous year. This was the same as the previous month and also met market expectations.
Investors maintained their expectations for the start of a rate cut this year as the PCE price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred price index, came out not much different from market expectations.
According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25bp rate cut by the US Fed in September was 45.2%, and the probability of a rate freeze was 47.9%. The probability of a 25bp rate hike was also reflected at around 0.6%.
The PCE price index is an indicator that measures the prices paid by US residents when purchasing goods and services.
The Fed uses the PCE price index instead of the consumer price index (CPI) to determine whether monetary policy goals have been achieved.
The gold price soared to $2,381.20 during the morning session after the PCE data, which was in line with expectations, was released.
However, some said that the April PCE results met expectations but there was no significant progress in slowing inflation and that we should continue to watch. The reason is that the core PCE figure, when converted to an annual rate, is still over 3%, which is still far from the Fed's inflation target.
In the end, gold prices gave back most of their gains and fell to $2,341.10 per ounce during the afternoon session.
"Despite the favorable PCE report and slowing consumer spending, gold prices fell," independent metals trader Tai Wong told Reuters. "This could indicate a short-term exhaustion of the amazing rally in 2024."
Silver prices closed down 3.5% at $30.440, while copper fell 1.2% to $4.6020. Platinum rose 1.4% to $1,038.25, while palladium closed down 4% to $909.71.
Meanwhile, gold prices closed higher in May, up 1.86%, or $42.9.
UBS Global Wealth Management said, ¡°Commodity prices still have room to rise, as rising demand for crude oil and copper and deepening supply shortages are likely to keep prices stable over the next 6-12 months.¡±
The UBS analyst team, led by Solita Marcelli, said, ¡°We favor strategies that generate returns from gold and crude oil, and recommend positioning for further upside in copper.¡±
Marcelli added, ¡°Central bank buying will continue to support gold prices through the remainder of 2024, and demand for gold as a hedge against geopolitical risks in the Middle East and between the US and China remains healthy.¡± UBS recently revised its year-end gold price outlook upward to $2,600 per ounce and recommended investors to buy when the price falls below $2,300.
At this time, the international gold price (as of 9:50 a.m., London LBMA gold price) is moving at $2,326.
Detailed domestic gold price inquiries can be found on the Korea Gold Exchange and Korea Exchange (KRX) websites.
/ Reporter Joo Hong-chul jhc@kjdaily.com
ÁÖȫö ±âÀÚ jhc@kjdaily.com