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-4th International Gold Price 0.92%¡é
International gold prices plunged in one day. The rise in the dollar dragged down gold prices.
On Tuesday (local time on the 4th), the price of gold futures for August delivery this year on the New York Mercantile Exchange closed at $2,347.40 per ounce, down 0.92% ($21.89) from the previous day. The gold price, which had surged the previous day, fell after two trading days.
The gold price, which opened at $2,371.30 per ounce, moved within the range of $2,335.10 to $2,373.10.
The decline in gold prices was due to the rise in the dollar. The dollar index, which measures the value of the U.S. currency against six major currencies, rose 0.1% to 104.12. The dollar index fell to its lowest level since mid-April and has been steadily rising.
The rise in the dollar is an unfavorable factor for gold prices. This is because it increases the perceived price of gold, which is usually traded in dollars, and reduces the buying sentiment of overseas buyers.
"The decline in gold prices was probably due to some reaction to the US dollar and some profit-taking in gold," said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities.
The April Jolts (job openings and job changes) report released today showed slowing data, but it did not have much of an impact on gold prices.
The US Department of Labor reported in its April Jolts (job openings and job changes) report that the number of job openings in April this year decreased by 296,000 from the previous month to 8,059,000.
This is the lowest level since 2021.
Precious metals investors are now waiting for the US nonfarm payrolls data to be released on Friday to confirm the clarity of the interest rate cut.
The key question is how much the economy will slow down until then, as the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to begin cutting interest rates this year. Accordingly, whether there is an economic downturn or a slowdown in the job market is an important variable that will affect the Fed's rate cut.
Market experts expect the US non-farm payrolls index for May to increase slightly from the previous month.
According to expert forecasts compiled by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ), experts estimate that non-farm payrolls in May will increase by 190,000, slightly exceeding the increase of 175,000 in the previous month.
The unemployment rate for May is expected to remain at 3.9%.
Experts predict that if the employment index is strong, it could weaken the appeal of gold as a safe haven asset, potentially pushing down the price of gold.
"A weak employment index could trigger a short-term rise in gold prices, but a strong employment index could put pressure on gold prices because it could suggest that the Fed will have a harder time cutting rates," said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals. He continued, ¡°Overall, gold is likely to move slightly lower or sideways in the coming weeks, barring any unexpected geopolitical events that could drive safe haven demand.¡±
According to CME Group¡¯s FedWatch tool, the probability of a 25bp Fed rate cut in September has increased to 54.9%. The probability of a rate freeze is now 34.2%, while a 25bp rate hike is seen as a minor 0.1%.
In India, one of the world¡¯s largest gold consumers, demand for gold is expected to slow in the short term due to the upcoming election results and related cash transaction restrictions. However, pent-up demand could emerge as the wedding season approaches after the elections. A potential stock market crash could also provide additional support as some capital flows into gold.
Meanwhile, silver prices closed down 3.8% at $29.617, while copper fell 2.8% to $4.5370. Platinum closed at $995.50 per ounce, down 1.6%, and palladium closed at $916.50 per ounce, down 0.1%.
At this time, the international gold price (as of 7 a.m., London LBMA gold price) is moving at $2,327.
Detailed domestic gold price inquiries can be found on the Korea Gold Exchange and Korea Exchange (KRX) websites.
/ Reporter Joo Hong-chul jhc@kjdaily.com
ÁÖȫö ±âÀÚ jhc@kjdaily.com