±Ý½Ã¼¼(±Ý°ª)¡¦2400´Þ·¯¼± ±ÙÁ¢ ÁÖȫö ±âÀÚ jhc@kjdaily.com |
2024³â 06¿ù 07ÀÏ(±Ý) 06:41 |
|
±¹Á¦ ±Ý°ªÀÌ ÀÌƲ ¿¬¼Ó »ó½ÂÇß´Ù. ¿ÃÇØ ¿¬ÁØÀÇ ±Ý¸® ÀÎÇÏ ±â´ë°¨ÀÌ Ä¿Áö¸é¼ ±Ý°¡°ÝÀÌ »ó½ÂÇß´Ù.
¸ñ¿äÀÏ(6ÀÏ ÇöÁö½Ã°£) ´º¿å»ó¾÷°Å·¡¼Ò¿¡¼ ¿ÃÇØ 8¿ù¹° ±Ý ¼±¹° °¡°ÝÀº ÀüÀÏ ´ëºñ 0.64%(15.4´Þ·¯) »ó½ÂÇÑ ¿Â½º´ç 2,390.90´Þ·¯¿¡ °Å·¡¸¦ ¸¶°¨Çß´Ù. ¿Â½º´ç 2,375.30´Þ·¯¿¡ °³ÀåÇÑ ±Ý°¡°ÝÀº 2,372~2,397´Þ·¯ ³»¿¡¼ ¿À¸£³»·È´Ù. ÀÌƲ ¿¬¼Ó ±Ý°ªÀÌ °¼¼¸¦ º¸ÀÌ¸é¼ ¿Â½º´ç 2400´Þ·¯ ¼±¿¡ ´Ù½Ã ¹Ù½Ï ´Ù°¡°£ ¸ð½ÀÀÌ´Ù.
±Ý°¡°Ý »ó½ÂÀº Àü³¯ ¹ßÇ¥µÈ ºÎÁøÇÑ ¹Î°£ °í¿ëÁöÇ¥ÀÇ ¿©ÆÄ¿¡¼ ºñ·ÔµÆ´Ù. ¹Ì±¹ °í¿ë½ÃÀå µÐÈ Á¶ÁüÀº Ú¸ ¿¬ÁØÀÇ ±Ý¸® ÀÎÇÏ ½Ã±â¸¦ ¾Õ´ç±â´Â ±ÝÀÇ ±àÁ¤ÀûÀÎ ¿äÀÎÀÌ´Ù.
¹Ì °í¿ëÁ¤º¸¾÷ü ¿ÀÅä¸Åƽµ¥ÀÌÅÍÇÁ·Î¼¼½Ì(ADP)¿¡ µû¸£¸é 5¿ù ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ¹Î°£±â¾÷ °í¿ëÀÌ Àü¿ù ´ëºñ 15¸¸2õ¸í Áõ°¡Çß´Ù.
5¿ù Áõ°¡ ÆøÀº Áö³ 1¿ù(11¸¸1õ¸í) ÀÌÈÄ 4°³¿ù ¸¸¿¡ °¡Àå ÀÛ¾ÒÀ¸¸ç, ´Ù¿ìÁ¸½º°¡ Áý°èÇÑ Àü¹®°¡ Àü¸ÁÄ¡(17¸¸5õ¸í)µµ ¹Øµ¹¾Ò´Ù.
4¿ù Áõ°¡ Æøµµ ±âÁ¸ 19¸¸2õ¸í¿¡¼ 18¸¸8õ¸íÀ¸·Î ÇÏÇâ Á¶Á¤µÆ´Ù.
ÀÓ±Ý »ó½Â·üÀº Àü³â ´ëºñ 5%·Î 3°³¿ù ¿¬¼Ó °°Àº ¼öÁØÀ» À̾´Ù.
³Ú¶ó ¸®Ã³µå½¼ ADP ¼ö¼® ÀÌÄÚ³ë¹Ì½ºÆ®´Â "ÇϹݱâ·Î °¥¼ö·Ï ÀÏÀÚ¸® Áõ°¡¿Í ÀÓ±Ý ¼ºÀåÀÌ µÐÈÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù"¸ç "³ëµ¿½ÃÀåÀº °ßÁ¶ÇÏÁö¸¸ »ý»êÀÚ ¹× ¼ÒºñÀÚ ¸ðµÎ¿Í °ü·ÃµÈ ÁÖ¸ñÇÒ ¸¸ÇÑ Ãë¾àÁ¡À» ÁÖ½ÃÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Ù"¶ó°í ¸»Çß´Ù.
ADP ¹Î°£ ±â¾÷ °í¿ëÁöÇ¥´Â ¹Î°£Á¤º¸¾÷ü°¡ ¼öÁýÇÑ Á¤º¸¸¦ Åä´ë·Î ÇÑ Á¶»ç °á°ú·Î ¹Ì Á¤ºÎ°¡ Áý°èÇÑ °ø½Ä °í¿ëÁöÇ¥¿Í´Â Â÷ÀÌ°¡ ÀÖÁö¸¸ µÎ Åë°è°¡ À¯»çÇÑ ¹æÇ⼺À» °¡Áö°í ¿òÁ÷ÀÌ´Â °æÇâÀÌ ÀÖ´Ù.
±Í±Ý¼Ó ÅõÀÚÀÚµéÀº À̳¯ ¹Ì±¹ ³ëµ¿ºÎ°¡ ¹ßÇ¥ÇÑ ÁÖ°£ ½Å±Ô ½Ç¾÷º¸Çè û±¸ÀÚ ¼ö¿¡µµ ÁÖ¸ñÇß´Ù.
¹ßÇ¥¿¡ µû¸£¸é Áö³ 1ÀÏ·Î ³¡³ ÇÑ ÁÖ°£ ½Å±Ô ½Ç¾÷º¸Çè û±¸ÀÚ ¼ö´Â °èÀý Á¶Á¤ ±âÁØ 22¸¸9õ¸íÀ¸·Î, Á÷ÀüÁÖº¸´Ù 8õ¸í Áõ°¡Çß´Ù. ÀÌ´Â 4ÁÖ ¸¸¿¡ °¡Àå ³ôÀº ¼öÁØÀ¸·Î Àü¹®°¡ ¿¹»óÄ¡ 21¸¸9õ°ÇÀ» ¿ôµ¹¾Ò´Ù.
½Ç¾÷¼ö´ç û±¸°Ç¼ö°¡ ´Ã¾úÁö¸¸ ÀÌ´Â ¿©ÀüÈ÷ 19¸¸~23¸¸°Ç´ëÀÇ ³·Àº ¹üÀ§¿¡ ¸Ó¹«¸£°í ÀÖ´Ù.
ÀÌ´Â ¹Ì±¹ °í¿ë½ÃÀåÀÌ µÐÈ Á¶ÁüÀ» º¸ÀÌ°í ÀÖÁö¸¸ źźÇÑ È帧ÀÌ À̾îÁö°í ÀÖÀ½À» ½Ã»çÇÑ´Ù.
¿©ÀüÈ÷ źźÇÑ °í¿ë½ÃÀåÀÌ È®ÀÎµÇ¸é¼ ±Ý°ªÀº ÀåÁß ¿ÀÀü ÇѶ§ 2,372.20´Þ·¯±îÁö Ç϶ôÇß´Ù. ÇÏÁö¸¸ ´Ù½Ã ¿À¸§¼¼·Î µ¹¾Æ¼¸é¼ ¿ÀÈÄ µé¾î ¿Â½º´ç 2,390´Þ·¯¼±¿¡ ¾ÈÂøÇß´Ù.
¹Ì±¹ ¾ÈÆÆÀÇ °¡½ÃÀû »óȲÀº ¿¬ÁØÀÌ ¿ÃÇϹݱ⿡ ±Ý¸® ÀÎÇϸ¦ ½ÃÀÛÇÒ °ÍÀ̶ó´Â ±â´ë¸¦ Å°¿ì°í ÀÖ´Ù.
À̳¯ ¿ÀÀü ½ÃÄ«°í°Å·¡¼Ò±×·ì(CME)ÀÇ ÆäÄ¡¿öÄ¡Åø¿¡ µû¸£¸é ¿¬ÁØÀÌ ¿À´Â 9¿ù¿¡ ±Ý¸®¸¦ 25bp ÀÎÇÏÇÒ È®·üÀº 58%·Î Àü³¯ º¸´Ù 0.8%Æ÷ÀÎÆ®, ÀüÁÖ¿¡ ºñÇØ 12.9%Æ÷ÀÎÆ® ¿Ã¶ú´Ù. 50bp ÀÎÇÏ °¡´É¼ºÀº 10.2%, µ¿°á °¡´É¼ºÀº 31.7%·Î ³ªÅ¸³µ´Ù. Áß¾ÓÀºÇàÀÇ ±Ý¸® ÀÎÇÏ´Â ÀÌÀÚ°¡ ºÙÁö ¾Ê´Â ±ÝÀ» º¸À¯ÇÏ´Â µ¥ ´ëÇÑ ±âȸºñ¿ëÀ» ³·Ãß´Â ±ÝÀÇ ±àÁ¤ÀûÀÎ ¿äÀÎÀÌ´Ù.
±Í±Ý¼Ó ½ÃÀåÀº ¿À´Â 7ÀÏ(ÇöÁö½Ã°£) ¹ßÇ¥µÉ ¹Ì ³ëµ¿ºÎÀÇ °ø½Ä 5¿ù °í¿ëº¸°í¼¿¡ ÃÊÁ¡À» ¸ÂÃß°í ÀÖ´Ù.
´Ù¿ìÁ¸½º Áý°è¿¡ µû¸£¸é Àü¹®°¡µéÀº 5¿ù ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ºñ³ó¾÷ ÀÏÀÚ¸®°¡ 19¸¸¸í ´Ã¾î 4¿ù(17¸¸5õ¸í) ´ëºñ Áõ°¡ ÆøÀÌ Ä¿Áú °ÍÀ¸·Î ³»´Ùº¸°í ÀÖ´Ù.
Àü¹®°¡µéÀº ¾àÇÑ ³ëµ¿·Â ¼ö´Â ¿¬ÁØÀÌ ¿¬¸» ÀÌÀü¿¡ ±Ý¸®¸¦ ÀÎÇÏÇØ¾ß ÇÒ ¼öµµ ÀÖ´Ù´Â ºÒ±æÀ» °¡Áß½ÃÄÑ ±ÝÀÇ ¸Å·ÂÀ» ³ôÀÏ °ÍÀ¸·Î ³»´ÙºÃ´Ù. ¹Ý¸é, °í¿ë ÁöÇ¥°¡ °¼¼¸¦ º¸ÀÎ´Ù¸é ±Ý½Ã¼¼´Â ´Ü±âÀûÀ¸·Î Á¶Á¤À» ¹ÞÀ» ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù°í Àü¸ÁÇß´Ù.
±Û·Î¹ú ±Í±Ý¼Ó Àü¹®±â¾÷ÀΠŶÄÚ¸ÞÅ»½ºÀÇ Áü ¿ÍÀÌÄÚÇÁ ¼ö¼® ºÐ¼®°¡´Â "¾îÁ¦ÀÇ ºÎÁøÇÑ ADP °í¿ë ¼öÄ¡´Â 5¿ù °ø½Ä º¸°í¼°¡ ¿¹»óº¸´Ù °ÇÏÁö ¾ÊÀ» °ÍÀ̶ó´Â °¼¼·ÐÀڵ鿡°Ô ¾à°£ÀÇ È®½ÅÀ» ÁÖ¾ú°í ÀÌ´Â ±Ý°ú Àº ½ÃÀå¿¡ ¿ìÈ£ÀûÀÌ´Ù"¶ó°í ¸»Çß´Ù.
ÇÑÆí, Àº °¡°ÝÀº 4.3% ¿À¸¥ 31.367´Þ·¯¿¡ °Å·¡¸¦ ¸¶°¨Çß°í, ±¸¸®´Â 1.6% »ó½ÂÇÑ 4.6780´Þ·¯¸¦ ³ªÅ¸³Â´Ù. ¹é±ÝÀº 1.7% »ó½ÂÇÑ 1,008.60´Þ·¯¸¦ ±â·ÏÇßÀ¸¸ç ÆȶóµãÀº 0.2% Ç϶ôÇÑ 929.75¿¡ °Å·¡¸¦ ¸¶ÃÆ´Ù.
ÀÌ ½Ã°¢ ±¹Á¦ ±Ý°ª(¿ÀÀü 6½Ã 30ºÐ ±âÁØ, ·±´ø LBMA ±Ý°ª½Ã¼¼)Àº 2,375´Þ·¯ ¼±¿¡ ¿òÁ÷ÀÌ°í ÀÖ´Ù.
ÀÚ¼¼ÇÑ ±¹³» ±Ý½Ã¼¼ Á¶È¸´Â Çѱ¹±Ý°Å·¡¼Ò¿Í Çѱ¹°Å·¡¼Ò(KRX) ȨÆäÀÌÁö µî¿¡¼ È®ÀÎ °¡´ÉÇÏ´Ù.
/ÁÖȫö ±âÀÚ jhc@kjdaily.com
-¹«´Ü ÀüÀç, º¹»ç, ¹èÆ÷, À¯Æ©ºê ¿µ»ó Á¦ÀÛÀ» ±ÝÇÕ´Ï´Ù. ¹ß°ß Áï½Ã ¹ÎÇü»ç»ó Á¦¼ÒÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
-¹«´Ü ÀüÀç, º¹»ç, ¹èÆ÷, À¯Æ©ºê ¿µ»ó Á¦ÀÛÀ» ±ÝÇÕ´Ï´Ù. ¹ß°ß Áï½Ã ¹ÎÇü»ç»ó Á¦¼ÒÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
-¹«´Ü ÀüÀç, º¹»ç, ¹èÆ÷, À¯Æ©ºê ¿µ»ó Á¦ÀÛÀ» ±ÝÇÕ´Ï´Ù. ¹ß°ß Áï½Ã ¹ÎÇü»ç»ó Á¦¼ÒÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
-¹«´Ü ÀüÀç, º¹»ç, ¹èÆ÷, À¯Æ©ºê ¿µ»ó Á¦ÀÛÀ» ±ÝÇÕ´Ï´Ù. ¹ß°ß Áï½Ã ¹ÎÇü»ç»ó Á¦¼ÒÇÕ´Ï´Ù.
-´ÙÀ½Àº À§ ±â»ç¸¦ ¿µ¾î·Î ¹ø¿ªÇÑ Àü¹®ÀÌ´Ù. ¹ø¿ª¿¡ ¿À·ù°¡ ÀÖÀ» ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù.
- 6th International Gold Price ¡è 0.64%
International gold prices rose for two consecutive days. Gold prices rose as expectations of a Fed rate cut this year grew.
On Thursday (6th local time), the August gold futures price on the New York Mercantile Exchange closed at $2,390.90 per ounce, up 0.64% ($15.4) from the previous day. The gold price, which opened at $2,375.30 per ounce, fluctuated between $2,372 and $2,397. With gold prices showing strength for two consecutive days, it is once again approaching the $2,400 per ounce level.
The rise in gold prices was due to the aftereffects of the sluggish private employment data released the previous day. Signs of a slowdown in the US employment market are a positive factor for gold, bringing forward the timing of the Fed's rate cut.
According to the U.S. employment information company Automatic Data Processing (ADP), private sector employment in the U.S. increased by 152,000 in May compared to the previous month.
The increase in May was the smallest in four months since January (111,000), and was also lower than the expert forecast (175,000) compiled by Dow Jones.
The increase in April was also revised down from 192,000 to 188,000.
The wage increase rate remained at the same level for the third consecutive month at 5% year-on-year.
¡°Job growth and wage growth are slowing down as we move into the second half of the year,¡± said Nella Richardson, ADP¡¯s chief economist. ¡°The labor market is strong, but we are watching for notable vulnerabilities related to both producers and consumers.¡±
The ADP private sector employment index is a survey result based on information collected by private information companies, and although it differs from the official employment index compiled by the U.S. government, the two statistics tend to move in similar directions.
Precious metals investors also paid attention to the weekly new unemployment insurance claim numbers released by the U.S. Department of Labor on the same day.
According to the announcement, the number of new unemployment insurance claimants for the week ending on the 1st was 229,000 on a seasonally adjusted basis, an increase of 8,000 from the previous week. This is the highest number in four weeks and exceeded the expert forecast of 219,000.
Although the number of unemployment benefit claims increased, it is still in the low range of 190,000 to 230,000.
This suggests that the U.S. job market is showing signs of slowing down, but the solid trend is continuing.
As the still solid job market was confirmed, the price of gold fell to $2,372.20 at one point in the morning. However, it turned upward again and settled at $2,390 per ounce in the afternoon.
Visible situations both inside and outside the U.S. are raising expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in the second half of this year.
According to the Chicago Exchange Group (CME) FetchWatch Tool on this morning, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in September is 58%, up 0.8% from the previous day and 12.9% from the previous week. The probability of a 50bp cut is 10.2%, and the probability of a freeze is 31.7%. The central bank's interest rate cut is a positive factor for gold, lowering the opportunity cost of holding gold that does not pay interest.
The precious metals market is focusing on the official May employment report from the U.S. Department of Labor, which will be released on the 7th (local time).
According to Dow Jones, experts are predicting that the number of non-farm payrolls in the U.S. will increase by 190,000 in May, a larger increase than in April (175,000).
Experts predict that the weak labor force numbers will increase the possibility that the Fed may have to cut interest rates before the end of the year, increasing the appeal of gold. On the other hand, if the employment data is strong, the gold price is expected to undergo a short-term correction.
Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals, a global precious metals company, said, "Yesterday's weak ADP employment numbers gave some confidence to the bulls that the official May report will not be as strong as expected, which is favorable for the gold and silver markets."
Meanwhile, silver prices closed at $31.367, up 4.3%, while copper rose 1.6% to $4.6780. Platinum rose 1.7% to $1,008.60, while palladium closed at $929.75, down 0.2%.
At this time, the international gold price (as of 6:30 a.m., London LBMA gold price) is moving around the $2,375 level.
Detailed domestic gold prices can be found on the Korea Gold Exchange and Korea Exchange (KRX) websites.
/ Reporter Joo Hong-chul jhc@kjdaily.com
ÁÖȫö ±âÀÚ jhc@kjdaily.com