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-16th International Gold Price ¡è1.8%
-Today's Gold Price (Korea Gold Exchange ¡è1.09%)
International gold prices have hit a record high. Expectations of a September interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve, a weak dollar, and geopolitical risks have pushed up gold prices.
On Friday (local time on the 16th), the price of gold futures for December delivery this year on the New York Mercantile Exchange closed at $2,537.80 per ounce, up 1.8% ($45.4) from the previous trading day. At one point during the day, the price of gold soared to $2,548.30 per ounce. Both the intraday price and the closing price are all-time highs. The previous intraday high was $2,522.50 on the 2nd, and the previous closing price was $2,504.0 on the 12th.
The rise in gold prices on this day was due to increased expectations of a Fed rate cut next month. The US Producer Price Index (PPI), Consumer Price Index (CPI), and Retail Sales Index for July released this week showed that US consumer spending remains strong while inflation is slowing. This has created room for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to enter a cycle of monetary easing without much burden.
According to the FedWatch Tool of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), the federal funds futures market reflected a 72.5% probability of a 25bp cut in the September benchmark interest rate at the close of the day. This is almost the same figure as the previous day¡¯s close.
The weakening dollar due to increased expectations of a Fed rate cut also supported gold prices. The dollar index fell 0.4%, recording a 4th consecutive week of declines, stimulating overseas buyers¡¯ buying sentiment.
Here, the ongoing geopolitical conflict, the possibility of Iran¡¯s involvement in the war, and the escalation of the Ukraine war are all factors that are increasing the demand for safe-haven assets such as gold.
Gold, which tends to be profitable in a low-interest-rate environment, is seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
As a result, the price of gold rose 2.6% for the week, marking the third consecutive week of gains.
Some experts have also forecasted that the price of gold will rise to around $3,000 per ounce.
¡°I think all the ingredients are in place for gold to hit a new record high in the coming months,¡± said Peter Spina, founder and president of investment website GoldSeek.com. ¡°$3,000 per ounce now looks much closer and more likely than it did at the beginning of the summer.¡±
He continued, ¡°As this strong gold market demand trend continues, gold prices will test $3,000 by the end of the first quarter of 2025.¡± Now, the attention of the precious metals market is on the so-called 'Jackson Hole Speech' by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell scheduled for the 23rd (local time).
According to Reuters and other sources, the Fed announced on the 15th that Chairman Powell will attend the annual economic policy symposium hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, and deliver a keynote speech as usual.
The event is being held midway between the July and September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings, when monetary policy is decided, and as the possibility of a recent interest rate cut has increased, it is attracting attention from the global market as it will allow the public to see Chairman Powell's latest assessment of the US economy and monetary policy outlook.
Meanwhile, the price of silver rose 1.4% to close at $28.81 per ounce. Platinum fell 0.2% to $950.76, and palladium fell 0.1% to $943.25.
At this time, the international gold price (as of 9:40 a.m., London LBMA gold price) is moving at the $2,507 level.
Domestic gold prices are also showing strength due to the surge in international gold prices.
According to the Korea Gold Exchange on the 17th, when consumers buy 1 don (24k, 3.75g) of pure gold, the price is 460,000 won (including VAT), up 1.09% (5,000 won) from the previous day (as of 9:40 a.m.).
However, when consumers sell 1 don of pure gold, the price is the same as the previous day, 400,000 won. The prices for 18k and 14k were 294,000 won and 228,000 won, respectively, the same as the previous trading day (the product price is applied when purchasing 18k and 14k).
In addition, the price for silver when purchasing was 5,550 won, up 1.44% from the previous trading day, and the price for selling was 4,420 won, up 1.58%. The price for platinum when purchasing was 181,000 won, down 0.55% from the previous day, and the price for selling was 147,000 won, down 0.68%.
The previous day, the won-dollar exchange rate in the Seoul foreign exchange market closed at 1,357.6 won, down 3.0 won from the previous trading day.
Detailed domestic gold prices can be found on the Korea Gold Exchange and Korea Exchange (KRX) websites.
/ Reporter Joo Hong-chul jhc@kjdaily.com
ÁÖȫö ±âÀÚ jhc@kjdaily.com